Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 5.688402 6.621881 7.625944 8.782221 10.072891 11.465119 13.076220
2025-03-23 4.382641 5.647800 7.115141 8.926069 11.083352 13.553139 16.575603
2025-03-30 3.350789 4.764418 6.525200 8.840090 11.760682 15.279102 19.790021
2025-04-06 2.463975 3.874529 5.761564 8.398850 11.910173 16.341366 22.262879
2025-04-13 1.808849 3.150567 5.077422 7.933122 11.930783 17.193144 24.489220
2025-04-20 1.525825 2.898849 4.990467 8.240693 12.973669 19.409596 28.584689
2025-04-27 1.381579 2.829845 5.149482 8.898327 14.534977 22.400925 33.863041
2025-05-04 1.227084 2.709624 5.203981 9.390072 15.877068 25.150303 38.937713
2025-05-11 1.021070 2.452841 4.995802 9.439944 16.549778 26.971118 42.789357
2025-05-18 0.809563 2.135414 4.633062 9.189761 16.725394 28.058056 45.623761
2025-05-25 0.645579 1.871926 4.320759 8.977676 16.924577 29.165318 48.508628
2025-06-01 0.531777 1.687151 4.122756 8.932400 17.372951 30.650908 51.989281
2025-06-08 0.424311 1.490832 3.878282 8.789055 17.667464 31.946482 55.298312
2025-06-15 0.385127 1.456892 3.960366 9.257569 19.031403 34.987115 61.388433
2025-06-22 0.324016 1.345146 3.858861 9.362996 19.768203 37.057188 66.060407
2025-06-29 0.245664 1.153543 3.545013 9.012282 19.663353 37.747467 68.594522
2025-07-06 0.180213 0.971530 3.214925 8.582782 19.371302 38.098109 70.585286
2025-07-13 0.161410 0.944541 3.261042 8.948446 20.579327 41.015624 76.797149
2025-07-20 0.158355 0.977139 3.465395 9.674055 22.508762 45.230698 85.240823
2025-07-27 0.148037 0.976945 3.582269 10.213998 24.105750 48.925612 92.932337
2025-08-03 0.123401 0.904825 3.491190 10.276057 24.772340 51.027341 98.055280
2025-08-10 0.094399 0.794774 3.270473 10.013516 24.774703 51.956303 101.247481
2025-08-17 0.072165 0.701353 3.076896 9.789423 24.832109 52.973853 104.605595